Geopolitical instability and tariffs emerge as top-tier MRO industry disruptors
Aircraft MRO Market 2025 to 2032: Engine Overhaul Dominance, Supply Chain Pressures, and Digital Transformation →Geopolitical instability and tariffs rapidly emerged as the second-ranked disruptor in MRO industry survey responses for the upcoming five-year period. Tariffs are heightening overall supply chain uncertainty, while broader geopolitical tensions continue to exert pressure on airline profit margins.
Severity: how big the impact would be if this plays out.
Likelihood: how probable the engine judges it is to happen or persist.
Spend exposed: the share of your annual category spend this flags.
Evaluate supply chain exposure to tariff structures and geopolitical risks
Emerging geopolitical factors and trade tariffs are increasingly disrupting component flows and putting pressure on operating margins.
Source · Google News
Source · aviationweek.com
Source · ainonline.com
Source · oliverwyman.com
The global aviation maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) market exceeded $136 billion in 2025, up 8% over 2024. This increase reflects an extended MRO “super cycle” — a combination of an aging fleet requiring higher maintenance and ongoing durability/reliability challenges for newer aircraft. By the end of the decade, [spending is expected to approach $193 billion](/our-expertise/insights/2026/