Delivery shortfall of 5,300+ aircraft sustaining retrofit and MRO demand
Aircraft Avionics Market 2025 to 2032: Semiconductor Supply Chains, Platform Recapitalisation and the Global Race for Certified Avionics →Global backlogs exceed 17,000 aircraft with an estimated 5,300+ delivery shortfall through late 2026, forcing airlines to extend legacy platform lifecycles. This is elevating demand for avionics retrofits, digital modernization, and MRO upgrades. YTD commercial production reached 1,141 aircraft through Q3 2026, driven by narrowbodies.
Severity: how big the impact would be if this plays out.
Likelihood: how probable the engine judges it is to happen or persist.
Spend exposed: the share of your annual category spend this flags.
Lock in retrofit and MRO capacity early with avionics suppliers
Extended legacy fleet lifecycles are tightening retrofit demand, so early scheduling secures slots and pricing.
Source · flightplan.forecastinternational.com
Source · aviation-suppliers.org