The US Metals and Metal Products PPI demonstrates a consistent upward trajectory from 2005 to 2025. The index rose from a starting value of 160.8 index (1982=100) to a latest reading of 329.5 index (1982=100), representing a total change of 168.7 index (1982=100) and an increase of 104.9% over the 20 year period. This progression equates to a compound annual growth rate of 3.7%, indicating sustained inflation in metal product pricing. The lowest point occurred at 160.8 index (1982=100) in 2005, while the peak reached 329.5 index (1982=100) in 2025. The most significant annual movement during this timeframe was a 33.6% increase from 2020, when the index stood at 219.9 index (1982=100), to 2021, when it climbed to 293.8 index (1982=100), reflecting pronounced market volatility during that period.
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Claight forecast CLAIGHT VIEW
The Claight forecast extends us metals and metal products ppi toward its 10-year average of 258.69 using partial mean reversion (20% per year). Producer prices track input-cost cycles, capacity and demand; this is a baseline, not a point call.
Data table
| Year | index (1982=100) |
|---|---|
| 2005 | 160.8 |
| 2006 | 181.6 |
| 2007 | 193.5 |
| 2008 | 213.0 |
| 2009 | 186.8 |
| 2010 | 207.6 |
| 2011 | 225.9 |
| 2012 | 219.8 |
| 2013 | 213.5 |
| 2014 | 215.0 |
| 2015 | 200.3 |
| 2016 | 194.3 |
| 2017 | 207.8 |
| 2018 | 223.6 |
| 2019 | 221.3 |
| 2020 | 219.9 |
| 2021 | 293.8 |
| 2022 | 326.7 |
| 2023 | 310.9 |
| 2024 | 308.8 |
| 2025 | 329.5 |
Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Producer Price Index, accessed 2026-07-04. Licence: Public domain (U.S. government work). Claight analysis based on this data.