ProcureHub · Direct Materials · Global
Sustainable Aviation Fuel: Market Size & Forecast 2026
The global sustainable aviation fuel market sits at approximately USD 12.5 billion in 2025 (base year), priced at a reference HEFA SAF spot of USD 1850 per metric tonne in the United States during the second quarter of 2026. Production is structurally anchored in the HEFA (hydroprocessed esters and fatty acids) pathway, which commands roughly 70% of current supply, and the category faces the defining tension of the decade: waste-based feedstock supply is finite while regulatory mandates are not. The 2-5x cost premium over fossil Jet A/A-1 persists; it does not compress materially at current feedstock availability. Commercial aviation accounts for approximately 92% of SAF demand, with the United States holding an estimated 42-46% of global production capacity. > **Analyst Take.** The consensus 32% CAGR is directionally defensible through 2029 but becomes aggressive beyond that point. A 32
Official data · Claight AnalysisForecast
Market size and CAGR extracted from the published Claight report; figures match the report..
2025 base: $12.5bn2032 est: $87.3bn
Talk to a Claight analyst
Do you want to research Sustainable Aviation Fuel?
Get in touch and our analysts will be happy to help with custom market sizing, deeper segmentation, supplier detail or a bespoke study built for you.
Connect to an analyst →Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research and industry data. Historical years before 2025 and all forecast years are Claight estimates at the stated CAGR. Retrieved 2026.