Scrap Aluminium: Market Size & Forecast 2026

The global scrap aluminium market reached approximately USD 95 billion in 2025 (base year), operating in a structurally tight balance defined by constrained post-consumer feedstock availability, simultaneous demand pressure from automotive lightweighting and packaging recycled-content mandates, and a multi-layered trade-defence architecture that has materially re-priced transatlantic and transpacific arbitrage since early 2025. Industry pricing benchmarks indicate mixed aluminium scrap (Taint/Tabor grade) at USD 2150/MT in the US for Q2 2026, roughly EUR 1950/MT in North-West Europe, and USD 1850/MT in Asia, with the LME primary aluminium cash settlement trading in the USD 2520-2530/t corridor as the primary price-discovery anchor [Claight estimate: LME primary cash vs scrap discount reflects avoided mining and electrolytic reduction costs]. > **Analyst Take.** The call is not whether al

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