World · $/cubic meter

Malaysian Sawnwood Price

World · $/cubic meter · annual average, 2005-2025 · forecast to 2030

Now (2026-06)
726.8 $/cubic meter
Avg 2025
718.4
Change 2005-2025
+9%
CAGR
0.4%
High (2011)
939.5
Latest price726.8$/cubic meterMONTHLYas of 2026-06 · updated 06 Jul 2026, 17:32 IST
HistoryWorld Bank forecastClaight forecastLatest (2026-06)
Log in to reveal the 2026-2030 forecast
Periodto

Malaysian sawnwood prices experienced moderate growth from 2005 to 2026, starting at $659.4 per cubic meter and reaching $733.2 per cubic meter, representing a total increase of $73.8 (+11.2%) over 21 years with a compound annual growth rate of 0.5%. The market exhibited significant volatility, with prices peaking at $939.5 per cubic meter in 2011 after the largest single-year increase of +13.6% from 2005 to 2006 when values rose from $659.4 to $749.4 per cubic meter. Despite this substantial mid-period high, the long-term trend indicates relatively stable growth with moderate price appreciation, reflecting gradual market adjustments rather than dramatic fluctuations in global demand or supply dynamics for Malaysian sawnwood over the two-decade period.

What This Tracks

Malaysian Sawnwood Price monitors the cost of hardwood lumber that has been milled from logs harvested in Malaysia's forests, primarily from Sarawak and Sabah on Borneo, as well as Peninsular Malaysia. The commodity covers various species of tropical hardwood—including meranti, keruing, and chengal—sold in cubic meter quantities to international buyers. This index serves as a benchmark for buyers in construction, furniture manufacturing, and interior finishing industries worldwide.

  • Measures processed lumber from tropical hardwood species native to Malaysian forests
  • Traded in cubic meters as the standard unit for bulk timber transactions
  • Reflects prices for both certified sustainable and conventional timber products

What Drives It

The Ringgit exchange rate against the US dollar is a primary driver, as timber contracts are typically priced in dollars while production costs accrue in local currency. Government policies on logging quotas, forest conservation, and the transition toward plantation-grown timber instead of natural forest harvests significantly constrain supply. Global demand from China, the European Union, and ASEAN neighbors—driven by construction activity and furniture production—sets the demand ceiling for Malaysian exports.

  • Ringgit-dollar exchange rate volatility directly impacts export competitiveness
  • Domestic logging regulations and Sustainable Forest Management licenses limit supply
  • International demand from construction and furniture sectors determines price floors

Recent Trends

Prices have experienced moderate volatility reflecting shifting global demand patterns and tightening supply from natural forest sources. The industry has seen a gradual pivot toward certified timber from managed plantations as natural forest resources face mounting environmental restrictions. Growing competition from Vietnam and Indonesia in furniture-grade sawnwood has pressured margins, while China's infrastructure spending has sustained demand for structural hardwood grades.

  • Gradual upward price movement as natural forest harvest areas contract
  • Increased market share for plantation-grown timber meeting sustainability certifications
  • Chinese demand remains a dominant force shaping quarterly price movements

Supply and Demand

Malaysia's sawnwood production capacity is concentrated among large-scale mills in Sarawak, which accounts for the largest share of exports, followed by operations in Sabah and Peninsula Malaysia. The supply side faces structural constraints from reduced timber concessions and longer rotation cycles for plantation forests, limiting rapid production increases. Demand fundamentals remain supportive, with global furniture production and mass timber construction in Asia and Europe creating sustained offtake.

  • Sarawak dominates production, with integrated mill operations serving export markets
  • Natural forest timber supply declining as plantation forestry scales up
  • Asia-Pacific construction sector growth sustains structural demand for hardwood

Outlook

The Malaysian sawnwood market faces a fundamental tension between constrained supply and steady demand, which is expected to support prices in the medium term. The continued implementation of the Malaysian Timber Certification Scheme and alignment with international standards like FSC will differentiate higher-value products in premium markets. However, competition from engineered wood products and alternative suppliers, combined with potential Ringgit appreciation, could cap price gains for commodity-grade sawnwood.

  • Structural supply constraints likely to underpin prices through the decade
  • Certification and sustainability credentials increasingly important for market access
  • Engineered wood alternatives may cannibalize demand for certain sawnwood applications
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Price outlook to 2030

World Bank forecast OFFICIAL

2025: 718.0 · 2026: 725.0 · 2027: 730.0 $/cubic meter

The World Bank projects sawnwood, malaysian at 725.0 $/cubic meter in 2026 and 730.0 in 2027.

Claight forecast CLAIGHT VIEW

2026: 720.0 · 2027: 695.0 · 2028: 685.0 · 2029: 680.0 · 2030: 675.0 $/cubic meter

Claight forecasts Sawnwood prices to decline below consensus through 2030 due to emerging oversupply and structural demand headwinds. Capacity expansions in Southeast Asian producers, including new efficient mills in Vietnam and Indonesia, will increase supply while Asian housing markets show signs of cooling. Substitution pressure from engineered wood products continues, particularly in construction where engineered timber offers better price-performance characteristics. Additionally, rising environmental regulations in key markets like the EU and North America are creating compliance costs that favor sustainable alternatives. While Malaysian production maintains quality advantages, the industry faces efficiency gains that limit pricing power. Our 2026 forecast anchors near current levels and World Bank projections, but we see a structural downtrend emerging as these factors converge, diverging from the World Bank's modestly bullish outlook.

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Data table

Year$/cubic meter
2005659.4
2006749.4
2007806.3
2008889.1
2009805.5
2010848.3
2011939.5
2012876.3
2013852.8
2014898.0
2015833.2
2016738.9
2017702.1
2018728.0
2019695.9
2020699.7
2021750.0
2022674.5
2023677.8
2024696.5
2025718.4

Source: World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook (Pink Sheet), accessed 2026-07-04. Licence: CC BY 4.0. Claight analysis based on this data.