World · $/kg

RSS3 Rubber Price

World · $/kg · annual average, 2005-2025 · forecast to 2030

Now (2026-06)
2.86 $/kg
Avg 2025
2.18
Change 2005-2025
+47%
CAGR
1.9%
High (2011)
4.82
Latest price2.86$/kgMONTHLYas of 2026-06 · updated 06 Jul 2026, 17:32 IST
HistoryWorld Bank forecastClaight forecastLatest (2026-06)
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Periodto

Global rubber prices (RSS3) have exhibited significant volatility from 2005 to 2026, starting at $1.49 per kg and reaching $2.48 per kg in 2026, representing a total increase of $0.99 per kg (+66.3%) over the 21-year period. The compound annual growth rate (CAGR) stood at 2.5%, indicating a generally upward trend despite fluctuations. Notably, prices reached a low of $1.49 per kg in 2005 and peaked at $4.82 per kg in 2011, demonstrating considerable market volatility. The largest single annual increase occurred from 2009 to 2010, with prices rising by 90.4% from $1.92 per kg to $3.65 per kg. This data reveals a long-term positive trend in rubber prices, punctuated by periods of significant volatility and substantial short-term fluctuations that characterize the global rubber market over the past two decades.

What This Tracks

RSS3 (Ribbed Smoked Sheet grade 3) is one of the most widely traded grades of natural rubber, defined by international quality standards including specific viscosity, nitrogen content, and ash level parameters. The price reflects spot market transactions for this benchmark rubber grade, which is produced by coagulating and smoking latex from Hevea brasiliensis rubber trees. Major commodity exchanges and market reporting services track RSS3 prices as a reference point for the broader natural rubber market.

  • Produced primarily in Thailand, Indonesia, Malaysia, and Vietnam
  • Used extensively in tire manufacturing and industrial rubber products
  • Price serves as a global benchmark for natural rubber commodities

What Drives It

Natural rubber prices are heavily influenced by climatic conditions in Southeast Asia, where monsoons and droughts can significantly impact latex yields and harvest schedules. Crude oil prices affect rubber indirectly because synthetic rubber—derived from petroleum—becomes more or less competitive relative to natural rubber at different oil price levels. Chinese industrial activity and automotive production numbers are closely watched indicators, as China accounts for roughly 40% of global natural rubber consumption.

  • Weather patterns in Thailand, Indonesia, and Malaysia affect supply
  • Synthetic rubber competition linked to crude oil price movements
  • Chinese manufacturing demand is the dominant consumption factor

Recent Trends

Rubber prices have experienced significant volatility driven by supply disruptions, including labor shortages in major producing regions and extreme weather events linked to climate patterns. Post-pandemic recovery in automotive and manufacturing sectors initially supported price increases, though demand concerns in 2024 have weighed on markets. The transition toward electric vehicles has introduced additional complexity, as EVs typically require fewer tires than conventional vehicles but may increase demand for certain specialty rubber components.

  • Supply-side disruptions have created price volatility in recent years
  • Electric vehicle adoption introduces uncertainty for long-term demand
  • Chinese economic data remains a key sensitivity factor for prices

Supply and Demand

Global natural rubber production exceeds 14 million metric tons annually, with Southeast Asian nations accounting for approximately 90% of output. Thailand remains the world's largest producer, followed by Indonesia and Vietnam, though China's domestic production has grown. Demand is concentrated in the tire industry, which consumes roughly 70% of natural rubber production, with remaining usage in general rubber goods, automotive parts, and industrial applications. Stockpile levels at major ports and in consuming nations serve as buffers that moderate short-term price swings.

  • Southeast Asia produces about 90% of global natural rubber supply
  • Tire manufacturing accounts for approximately 70% of consumption
  • Inventory levels at consuming hubs influence near-term pricing

Outlook

The natural rubber market faces mixed signals as global economic conditions remain uncertain while structural supply factors persist. Aging rubber tree plantations in traditional producing regions may constrain output growth, as replanting requires seven or more years before trees reach productive maturity. Demand prospects depend heavily on global economic recovery trajectories and the pace of electric vehicle adoption, with emerging markets in India and Southeast Asia potentially providing growth drivers. Market participants continue to monitor weather forecasts, currency movements, and macroeconomic indicators for near-term pricing signals.

  • Long-term supply constrained by extended replanting cycles
  • Electric vehicle trends create uncertainty for traditional tire demand
  • Growth markets in India and Southeast Asia may offset mature economy weakness
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Price outlook to 2030

Claight forecast CLAIGHT VIEW

2026: 2.95 · 2027: 2.45 · 2028: 1.90 · 2029: 1.65 · 2030: 1.60 $/kg

We forecast a sustained decline in RSS3 rubber prices from current elevated levels through 2030, driven by a combination of new supply capacity coming online and weakening global demand for rubber. Southeast Asian producers, particularly in Thailand and Indonesia, are expanding plantations with improved high-yield varieties, which will gradually increase global supply despite weather volatility. Simultaneously, electric vehicle adoption is reducing tire demand growth while tire manufacturers are increasing recycling and substitution with synthetic alternatives. This structural oversupply dynamic diverges from consensus expectations which maintain tight supply-demand balance. We see prices returning toward historical norms by 2030, with a brief dip in 2027-2028 as new capacity reaches full maturity.

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Data table

Year$/kg
20051.49
20062.08
20072.26
20082.59
20091.92
20103.65
20114.82
20123.38
20132.79
20141.95
20151.57
20161.60
20172.00
20181.57
20191.64
20201.73
20212.07
20221.81
20231.58
20242.27
20252.18

Source: World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook (Pink Sheet), accessed 2026-07-04. Licence: CC BY 4.0. Claight analysis based on this data.