ProcureHub · Direct Materials · Global
Refined Petroleum - Kerosene: Market Size & Forecast 2026
The global refined petroleum kerosene market was valued at approximately USD 6.0 billion in 2025, exhibiting a structurally tight balance between transportation (aviation) demand, household heating in rural areas, and industrial applications. The category faces a bifurcated future: short-term demand stability from aviation recovery and rural electrification programs, while long-term headwinds emerge from decarbonization policies and alternative energy adoption. > **Analyst Take.** the SAF compliance mandates represent the most significant procurement opportunity in the next decade. Buyers anchored to conventional kerosene pricing will face 15-25% SAF surcharges by 2030. Begin SAF supplier qualification now while establishing crude-indexed structures for conventional kerosene to maintain flexibility. The market will bifurcate into conventional (decelerating) and sustainable segments (acce
Official data · Claight AnalysisForecast
Market size and CAGR extracted from the published Claight report; figures match the report..
2025 base: $6.0bn2032 est: $8.3bn
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Connect to an analyst →Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research and industry data. Historical years before 2025 and all forecast years are Claight estimates at the stated CAGR. Retrieved 2026.