Vegetable Oils - Sunflower: Market Size & Forecast 2026

The global sunflower oil market sits at approximately USD 28.2 billion in 2025 (base year) on a 4.2% forward CAGR through 2032, anchored by retail and HoReCa cooking-oil demand (66% of category volume), feedstock cost pass-through from Black Sea sunflower seed production, and an emerging high-oleic and cold-pressed specialty pocket. Category pricing has worked through a USD 1,150-1,250/MT band through Q1 2026 with regional dispersion of roughly USD 100-150/MT between deep-water and Black Sea origins. Buyer Power Score reads -2.4 on the -5.0 to +5.0 scale, supplier-favoring. > **Analyst Take.** Our view: the consensus 4-5% CAGR looks credible for the conventional refined segment but understates the high-oleic pocket, which is running closer to 10% off a 14% category share. We would push back on any forecast that smooths conventional and specialty into a single number; the segment economic

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