Kraftliner: Market Size & Forecast 2026

The global kraftliner market sits at approximately USD 14.5 billion in 2025 (base year), held in a structurally balanced-to-marginally-tight state by virgin fibre availability constraints, steady corrugated-box replacement demand, and a regulatory inflection under EU PPWR that begins reshaping grade requirements from 2030. Feedstock accounts for roughly 48% of production cost; wood pulp and OCC fibre prices have been the primary driver of the USD 720-780 per metric ton price band across major regions through Q2 2026. The market grows at a 2.8% CAGR through 2032, reaching approximately USD 17.5 billion, a mature, feedstock-anchored consumable category where a 7% CAGR would imply value doubling within a decade, a pace the replacement-driven parc dynamics do not support. > **Analyst Take.** Our view: the EU PPWR recycled-content mandates effective 1 January 2030 are the most consequential s

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