Cotton Fabric - Greige: Market Size & Forecast 2026

The global greige cotton fabric market sits at approximately USD 28.5 billion in 2025, anchored by a raw-cotton feedstock that has traded in a 71-88 cents-per-pound band through the first half of 2026 and constrained by tariff exposure on Chinese-origin goods that now layers a 25% Section 301 duty atop a 0% (struck down / held unlawful) Section 122 baseline for a combined ad valorem stack approaching 35% on the world's dominant low-cost supplier. > **Analyst Take.** Our view: the USDA's projection that global cotton ending stocks will fall to 71.1 million bales in 2026/27, the lowest level in eight years, is the single most under-priced signal in the category. Buyers anchoring to 2024-2025 greige pricing are facing a structural repricing event driven by the stocks-to-use ratio falling to roughly 26%, a level that historically preceded two-digit cotton-price rallies. The procurement team

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