World · $/cubic meter

Malaysian Logs Price

World · $/cubic meter · annual average, 2005-2025 · forecast to 2030

Now (2026-06)
185.3 $/cubic meter
Avg 2025
199.1
Change 2005-2025
-2%
CAGR
-0.1%
High (2011)
390.5
Latest price185.3$/cubic meterMONTHLYas of 2026-06 · updated 06 Jul 2026, 17:32 IST
HistoryWorld Bank forecastClaight forecastLatest (2026-06)
Log in to reveal the 2026-2030 forecast
Periodto

Malaysian logs displayed a declining overall trend from 2005 to 2026. The price fell 14.8 $/cubic meter, representing a total decrease of 7.3% over the 21 year period. This resulted in a compound annual growth rate of -0.4%. Prices peaked at 390.5 $/cubic meter in 2011 but reached a low of 188.3 $/cubic meter by 2026. The most notable volatility occurred between 2010 and 2011, when prices surged 40.4% from 278.2 $/cubic meter to the 2011 high. This sharp increase stands as the largest single move within the dataset. The long-term trajectory shows gradual erosion despite the significant upward spike during that period.

What This Tracks

This price index monitors the average cost of raw timber logs exported from Malaysia's Peninsular and East Malaysian regions (Sabah and Sarawak). It covers both domestic market prices and export values across different log species and quality grades. The metric serves as an indicator for Malaysia's forestry sector health and tropical timber market conditions globally.

  • Measured in USD/cubic meter for international comparability
  • Includes major species: meranti (light hardwood), keruing (heavy hardwood), and mixed tropical hardwoods
  • Tracks both Peninsular Malaysia and Borneo (Sabah/Sarawak) production regions

What Drives It

Global construction and furniture manufacturing demand, particularly from China, India, and Middle Eastern markets, significantly influences log prices. Malaysian government policies including log export restrictions, sustainable forestry certification requirements, and reforestation levies directly impact supply availability and pricing. Currency fluctuations between the Malaysian Ringgit and US Dollar also affect export competitiveness and price transmission to international buyers.

  • China remains the largest buyer of Malaysian tropical timber, driving demand trends
  • Malaysia's National Timber Policy and sustainable harvesting mandates affect supply volumes
  • Ringgit depreciation against USD can boost export volumes but may not fully translate to higher domestic prices

Recent Trends

Prices have experienced volatility influenced by post-pandemic construction rebounds and tightening environmental regulations across major import markets. Malaysia's gradual shift toward value-added timber products rather than raw log exports has begun influencing domestic log pricing structures. Competition from alternative materials and increasing certification requirements for sustainable timber have added complexity to market pricing dynamics.

  • Recent periods saw price pressures from both supply constraints and fluctuating global demand
  • Increased enforcement of Malaysian Sustainable Forest Management standards affects available supply
  • Growing preference for certified sustainable logs creates price differentiation in markets

Supply and Demand

Malaysia's log supply comes from both natural forest concessions and plantation forests, with production increasingly constrained by sustainability requirements and reduced natural forest harvesting. Domestic demand from the furniture, molding, and plywood manufacturing sectors competes with export markets for available log volumes. The balance between these demand sources, combined with seasonal factors and weather conditions affecting logging operations, creates the fundamental supply-demand framework for pricing.

  • Malaysia produces approximately 15-20 million cubic meters of logs annually from all sources
  • Furniture and wood product manufacturing consumes roughly 40-50% of domestic log supply
  • Export markets absorb surplus production, with China, Vietnam, and India as primary destinations

Outlook

Long-term price trajectories will depend on global construction activity, Malaysia's forestry policy evolution, and increasing emphasis on sustainable timber sourcing. The gradual transition toward plantation-based timber production may stabilize supply but potentially at different price levels than natural forest logs. Emerging carbon credit mechanisms and ecosystem service valuations could create new price signals for sustainably managed forest products.

  • Growing environmental certification requirements may create premium pricing for verified sustainable logs
  • Malaysia's plantation expansion could eventually offset declining natural forest log production
  • Regional competition from Indonesia and Papua New Guinea will continue influencing price benchmarks
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Price outlook to 2030

World Bank forecast OFFICIAL

2025: 199.0 · 2026: 190.0 · 2027: 200.0 $/cubic meter

The World Bank projects logs, malaysian at 190.0 $/cubic meter in 2026 and 200.0 in 2027.

Claight forecast CLAIGHT VIEW

2026: 195.0 · 2027: 215.0 · 2028: 230.0 · 2029: 245.0 · 2030: 260.0 $/cubic meter

Claight forecasts Malaysian logs to trade above consensus through 2030, supported by supply constraints and resilient demand. Current production remains below historical capacity due to persistent environmental regulations and delayed replanting programs, limiting supply growth. Simultaneously, demand from China's construction sector shows stabilization after the post-COVID adjustment, with Vietnamese furniture manufacturers increasingly substituting Malaysian logs for African alternatives that face shipping disruptions. While the World Bank assumes normalization of supply, we anticipate capacity constraints will keep prices elevated. Our 2026 forecast anchors near current levels, with gradual appreciation reflecting tightening fundamentals. We see recovery toward the 10-year average by 2030 as supply bottlenecks persist longer than consensus anticipates.

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Data table

Year$/cubic meter
2005203.1
2006239.4
2007268.0
2008292.3
2009287.2
2010278.2
2011390.5
2012360.5
2013305.4
2014282.0
2015246.0
2016274.4
2017265.4
2018269.7
2019273.1
2020278.9
2021271.3
2022228.0
2023212.4
2024196.8
2025199.1

Source: World Bank Commodity Markets Outlook (Pink Sheet), accessed 2026-07-04. Licence: CC BY 4.0. Claight analysis based on this data.