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Engines (ICE): Market Size & Forecast 2026

The global internal combustion engine (ICE) market stands at approximately USD 350 billion in 2025 (base year), held in a structurally declining trajectory shaped by the passenger vehicle electrification transition, tightening emissions regulation in Europe and North America, and a raw-material cost structure anchored to steel and aluminium commodity cycles. The 7-year forward CAGR through 2032 is negative, reflecting the structural contraction in light-duty automotive demand that more than offsets growth in commercial vehicle and stationary power applications. > **Analyst Take.** The call is to rotate procurement spend from light-duty passenger vehicle suppliers toward heavy-duty and stationary power suppliers before the full weight of EU 2035 CO2 regulations hits in 2027. We estimate roughly USD 80-100 billion in ICE passenger vehicle demand exits the market between 2026 and 2032. Buye

Market size · 2025
$341.0bn
CAGR · 2025–2030
-2.3%
Forecast · 2030
$303.5bn
Basis
Claight Analysis
Market size (USD)
Base year 2025
Official data · Claight AnalysisForecast
Market size and CAGR extracted from the published Claight report; figures match the report..
Forecast
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2031
2032
2025 base: $341.0bn2032 est: $289.7bn
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Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research and industry data. Historical years before 2025 and all forecast years are Claight estimates at the stated CAGR. Retrieved 2026.