Educational Services · US · NAICS 611310

Colleges & Universities in the US: Market Size, Businesses & Forecast 2026

The Colleges & Universities industry in the US encompasses postsecondary institutions providing academic courses and granting degrees at the baccalaureate or graduate levels. According to the National Center for Education Statistics (NCES), total undergraduate fall enrollment in degree-granting postsecondary institutions stood at 15.8 million students in 2023 (IES/NCES 2025). Concurrently, total enrollment in postbaccalaureate programs reached 3.2 million students in 2023 (IES/NCES 2025). The industry is navigating long-term demographic shifts and fluctuating public funding, though it remains a critical driver of economic mobility and specialized workforce development.

Businesses · 2025
14k
Outlook
Steady
Competition
High, rising

Industry snapshot

Demand drivers
Degree Wage Premium
Government Appropriations
Demographic Shifts
Online Program Adoption
Relative importance, Claight qualitative assessment.
Market structure
fragmented
moderate
concentrated
Competitive intensity
high, rising
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Key public data points

Total US Undergraduate Fall Enrollment (2023)15.8 million students
Source: IES NCES Condition of Education 2025
Total US Postbaccalaureate Fall Enrollment (2023)3.20 million students
Source: IES NCES Condition of Education 2025
State and Local Higher Education Funding (2025)149.2 billion USD
Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers Association (SHEEO) 2025
State Higher Education Appropriations (2025)133.9 billion USD
Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers Association (SHEEO) 2025
Public Institution Net Tuition Revenue per FTE (2025)7,459 USD
Source: State Higher Education Executive Officers Association (SHEEO) 2025

Historical & forecast

Base year 2025. Each series is official through its own latest government-data year (shown in the legend on each chart), and years beyond that are Claight estimates. As of July 2026 the current year is still in progress (2026 annual data is not yet published), so the forecast runs to 2030.

Number of businesses
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 14,4952030 est: 19,386
Employment
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 1,285,2812030 est: 1,320,078
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Industry Definition and Scope

What does the Colleges & Universities in the US industry cover?

This industry consists of postsecondary educational establishments that deliver academic courses leading to baccalaureate, master's, or doctoral degrees. Admission generally requires a high school diploma or equivalent certification. The scope includes public universities, private non-profit colleges, and private for-profit higher education institutions, but excludes two-year junior and community colleges that primarily award associate degrees.

  • Primary activities include classroom instruction, advanced research, and professional training in fields like medicine and law.
  • Operations cover both traditional brick-and-mortar campuses and distance-learning or online degree platforms.
  • Establishments are classified under the official North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) framework for educational services.

Market Structure and Operators

Who operates in the industry and how is it structured?

The US higher education market features a highly fragmented structure divided among public, private non-profit, and private for-profit entities. Public universities typically operate as large state-funded systems with substantial student bodies and broader curriculum choices. Private institutions, while generally smaller, account for a significant portion of total degree-granting entities and often rely heavily on tuition and private endowments.

  • State and local government funding for higher education institutions totaled $149.2 billion in fiscal year 2025 (SHEEO 2025).
  • States contributed $133.9 billion of total funding, representing a 3.4% inflation-adjusted increase over the previous year (SHEEO 2025).
  • Net tuition and fee revenue at public four-year institutions averaged $10.505 per FTE student in 2025 (SHEEO 2025).
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Demand Drivers

What drives demand in the industry?

Demand for higher education is primarily driven by the long-term wage premium and employment advantages associated with obtaining a college degree. Fluctuations in the job market, corporate hiring standards, and federal financial aid availability directly influence student enrollment behaviors. Additionally, population demographics and high school graduation rates dictate the pipeline of traditional incoming freshmen.

  • In 2024, median earnings of bachelor's degree recipients age 25 and older with no advanced degree were $31,200 higher than high school graduates (College Board 2026).
  • The unemployment rate for individuals age 25 and older with at least a bachelor's degree sat at 2.6% in 2025 (College Board 2026).
  • Total education revenue across public institutions decreased 1.9% year-over-year to $19,443 per FTE in 2025, reflecting shifting demand dynamics (SHEEO 2025).

Competitive Landscape and Notable Public Companies

Who are the notable companies in the industry?

Competition in the industry takes place on multiple fronts, including academic prestige, program costs, online delivery capabilities, and career placement outcomes. While public and non-profit universities dominate total enrollment, corporate operators listed on public stock exchanges manage large-scale online and proprietary postsecondary networks. These corporate providers focus heavily on non-traditional, adult, and distance learners.

  • Strategic Education, Inc. operates notable institutions including Capella University and Strayer University within the US market.
  • Grand Canyon Education, Inc. provides comprehensive technology and operational services to Grand Canyon University and other partner institutions.
  • Adtalem Global Education Inc. operates specialized institutions including the American University of the Caribbean School of Medicine and Ross University School of Medicine.
  • American Public Education, Inc. manages online programs via the American Public University System and Hondros College of Nursing.

Recent Trends and Outlook

What are the recent trends and outlook?

The industry is adapting to a post-pandemic landscape marked by a structural expansion in virtual learning options and shifting institutional revenues. Net tuition revenues have faced downward pressure at many public institutions, forcing a greater reliance on state appropriations or alternative funding sources. Concurrently, graduate and postbaccalaureate programs have shown resilient enrollment trends compared to undergraduate programs over the past decade.

  • Total undergraduate enrollment decreased by 9% between fall 2013 and fall 2023, dropping from 17.5 million to 15.8 million students (IES/NCES 2025).
  • Total postbaccalaureate program enrollment increased from 2.9 million to 3.2 million students over the same 2013 to 2023 timeframe (IES/NCES 2025).
  • Public institution net tuition and fee revenue per FTE fell 3.5% in 2025, marking four declines in the last five years (SHEEO 2025).
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Regulation and Compliance

How is the industry regulated?

Colleges and universities operate under strict federal, state, and institutional regulatory oversight. To participate in federal student financial aid programs, institutions must maintain institutional accreditation and satisfy rigid compliance standards mandated by the US Department of Education. For-profit operators are subject to heightened scrutiny regarding student loan default rates and career outcome disclosures.

  • Institutions must comply with Title IV of the Higher Education Act of 1965 to access federal pell grants and direct student loan funds.
  • State financial aid allocations per FTE reached a record high of $1,271 in 2025, tied to state-specific legislative mandates (SHEEO 2025).
  • Public universities remain bound by state budgetary allocations and legislative limits placed on in-state tuition increases.

Sources

Government, statistical and trade sources used for this Claight analysis.

  • Institute of Education Sciences National Center for Education Statistics (IES/NCES) 2025 ·
  • State Higher Education Executive Officers Association (SHEEO) SHEF Report 2025 ·
  • College Board Research Education Pays Report 2026 ·
  • U.S. Census Bureau NAICS Framework 2022

Claight analysis of public industry data.