Global · $/bbl

Brent Crude Oil Spot Price

Global · $/bbl · annual average, 2005-2025 · forecast to 2030

Now (2026-07-06)
69.6 $/bbl
Avg 2025
69.1
Change 2005-2025
+27%
CAGR
1.2%
High (2012)
111.7
Latest price69.6$/bblLIVEas of 2026-07-06 · updated 14 Jul 2026, 12:00 IST
HistoryWorld Bank forecastClaight forecastLatest (2026-07-06)
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Periodto

The Brent Crude Oil Spot Price experienced notable volatility over the two decade period from 2005 to 2025. Beginning at 54.4 $/bbl and reaching 69.1 $/bbl, the commodity recorded a total change of 14.7 $/bbl, representing a 27.0% increase. This twenty-year trajectory yielded a compound annual growth rate of 1.2%, indicating modest long-term appreciation. The market demonstrated substantial fluctuation throughout the observed timeframe, with a low of 41.8 $/bbl in 2020 and a high of 111.7 $/bbl in 2012. The most dramatic single movement occurred from 2020 to 2021, when prices surged by 69.2% from 41.8 $/bbl to 70.7 $/bbl. This rebound exemplifies the significant price corrections that characterize crude oil markets, even as the broader trend shows gradual advancement at a measured pace.

What This Tracks

Brent Crude is a light, sweet crude oil grade sourced primarily from the North Sea oilfields, including Brent, Forties, Oseberg, Ekofisk, and Troll. The spot price reflects the cost of a physical barrel for near-term delivery, typically loading within days or weeks. It is widely used as a pricing benchmark because of its accessibility, consistent quality, and the liquidity of its underlying market.

  • Quoted in U.S. dollars per barrel ($/bbl)
  • Settles daily based on physical and forward trades for near-term delivery
  • Underpins pricing for major crude grades in Europe, Africa, and the Middle East

What Drives It

The price is influenced by the global balance between oil supply and demand, with shifts in either side producing significant movement. OPEC+ production targets and quota compliance directly affect available supply, while global economic growth drives demand for transportation fuels and industrial activity. Geopolitical events, including conflicts in oil-producing regions and sanctions on major producers, can disrupt supply and lift prices, while a stronger U.S. dollar typically weighs on crude since it is priced in dollars globally.

  • OPEC+ production decisions are a primary supply-side driver
  • Global GDP growth and industrial demand shape consumption
  • Geopolitical risk in producing regions adds a risk premium

Recent Trends

Brent prices have traded in a lower range compared to the multi-year highs reached following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, when prices briefly exceeded $120/bbl. More recently, concerns over softer global demand, particularly from major economies, and steadily increasing non-OPEC supply have weighed on the market. Prices have generally fluctuated in the $60s to low $70s per barrel as supply growth has outpaced demand growth in some periods.

  • Currently near 69.56 $/bbl, below recent multi-year highs
  • Demand growth from China and other emerging markets has been uneven
  • U.S. shale and other non-OPEC production have expanded supply

Supply and Demand

Global oil supply is led by OPEC+ countries, the United States, Canada, Brazil, and Norway, with OPEC+ coordinating output levels to support market balance. Demand is dominated by transportation fuels such as gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel, alongside petrochemical feedstocks and industrial use. Inventory levels in major consuming regions like the United States, Europe, and Asia serve as a visible indicator of whether the market is over- or under-supplied.

  • OPEC+ production policy is a key swing factor for supply
  • Transportation fuels account for the majority of global oil demand
  • Commercial inventory data signals near-term market tightness

Outlook

Near-term price direction depends on OPEC+ adherence to production cuts, the pace of global economic growth, and any geopolitical disruptions. Rising investment in renewable energy and electric vehicles is expected to dampen long-term demand growth for transportation fuels, while oil remains a critical feedstock for petrochemicals. Analysts generally expect prices to remain sensitive to macroeconomic data and supply decisions, with potential for notable swings in either direction.

  • Energy transition trends may pressure long-term demand growth
  • Geopolitical events can produce short-term price spikes
  • Inventories and OPEC+ policy will continue to be closely watched indicators
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Price outlook to 2030

Claight forecast CLAIGHT VIEW

2025: 69.1 · 2026: 69.3 · 2027: 69.4 · 2028: 69.6 · 2029: 69.6 · 2030: 69.7 $/bbl

The Claight forecast reverts brent crude oil spot price toward its 10-year average of 69.885 $/bbl using gradual mean reversion (25% per year). Energy prices are volatile and driven by supply, OPEC policy, the energy transition and macro demand; this is a baseline, not a point call.

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Data table

Year$/bbl
200554.4
200665.1
200772.5
200896.8
200961.5
201079.5
2011111.3
2012111.7
2013108.6
201499.0
201552.4
201643.5
201754.2
201871.1
201964.4
202041.8
202170.7
2022100.8
202382.5
202480.5
202569.1

Source: U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), accessed 2026-07-04. Licence: Public domain (U.S. government work). Claight analysis based on this data.