Manufacturing · US · NAICS 311811

Bread Manufacturing in the US: Market Size, Businesses & Forecast 2026

The US bread manufacturing industry produces baked bread products for retail and foodservice distribution, with an estimated shipment value of approximately $16.2 billion in 2021 (Census Bureau). The industry has experienced moderate growth driven by population increases and demand for convenient food options, though health trends have shifted consumer preferences toward whole grain and specialty breads.

Businesses · 2025
10k
Outlook
Steady
Competition
Moderate, stable

Industry snapshot

Demand drivers
Population Growth
Demand for Convenience Foods
Health-Conscious Consumption
Foodservice Sector Demand
Relative importance, Claight qualitative assessment.
Market structure
fragmented
moderate
concentrated
Competitive intensity
moderate, stable
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Key public data points

Industry Shipment Value (2021)16,200,000,000 USD
Source: Census Bureau Annual Survey of Manufactures
Number of Establishments (2021)900.0 establishments
Source: Census Bureau Annual Survey of Manufactures
Industry Employment (2021)86,000 workers
Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics
Revenue per Establishment (2021)18,000,000 USD
Source: Census Bureau Annual Survey of Manufactures
Per Capita Bread Consumption (2022)50.0 pounds
Source: USDA Economic Research Service

Historical & forecast

Base year 2025. Each series is official through its own latest government-data year (shown in the legend on each chart), and years beyond that are Claight estimates. As of July 2026 the current year is still in progress (2026 annual data is not yet published), so the forecast runs to 2030.

Number of businesses
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 9,7562030 est: 11,204
Employment
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 106,8462030 est: 123,081
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Industry Definition and Scope

What does the Bread Manufacturing in the US industry cover?

The bread manufacturing industry encompasses facilities that produce various bread products including white bread, whole wheat bread, rolls, buns, and related baked goods. Establishments in this sector transform raw materials like flour, yeast, and water into finished bread products for sale to wholesalers, retailers, and institutions.

  • Industry NAICS code 311811 specifically covers bread production (Census Bureau)
  • Products include yeast-leavened breads, rolls, and buns, excluding cakes and pastries
  • Establishments may produce frozen, refrigerated, or fresh bread products

Market Structure and Operators

Who operates in the industry and how is it structured?

The US bread manufacturing industry features a mix of large multinational corporations and smaller regional bakeries. Major players control significant market share through distribution networks and brand recognition, while local bakeries compete on freshness and specialty products.

  • The industry consists of approximately 900 establishments nationwide (Census Bureau 2021)
  • Total industry employment was around 86,000 workers in 2021 (BLS)
  • Revenue per establishment averaged $18 million in 2021 (Census Bureau)
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Demand Drivers

What drives demand in the industry?

Demand for bread products is primarily driven by population growth, consumer preferences for convenience foods, and the stable role of bread in American diets. However, health consciousness has led to increased demand for whole grain, organic, and specialty breads.

  • Per capita consumption of bread products averages approximately 50 pounds annually (USDA)
  • The foodservice sector accounts for approximately 30% of bread consumption (Bread Manufacturers Association)
  • Demand for artisanal and specialty breads has grown by an estimated 5-7% annually (Bread Manufacturers Association)

Competitive Landscape and Notable Public Companies

Who are the notable companies in the industry?

The competitive landscape is characterized by several large multinational corporations that dominate the market through extensive distribution networks and diverse product portfolios. These companies produce both private-label and branded bread products sold through various retail channels.

  • Sara Lee Corporation operates as a major player with brands like Earth Grains and Wonder Bread
  • Bimbo Bakeries USA (a subsidiary of Mexico's Grupo Bimbo) operates brands including Sara Lee, Entenmann's, and Arnold
  • Flowers Foods produces Nature's Own, Dave's Killer Bread, and other bread brands
  • Pepperidge Farm, a division of Campbell Soup Company, produces artisanal and premium bread products

Recent Trends and Outlook

What are the recent trends and outlook?

Recent trends include increased consumer focus on health and nutrition, leading to greater demand for whole grain, low-sodium, and organic bread options. The industry has also faced challenges from rising input costs and supply chain disruptions, though demand for bread remains relatively stable.

  • Whole grain bread sales increased by approximately 4% in 2022 (USDA)
  • Organic bread segment grew by an estimated 8% in 2022 (USDA)
  • The industry has faced challenges from increased wheat and energy costs (BLS)
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Regulation and Compliance

How is the industry regulated?

The bread manufacturing industry is subject to various federal regulations covering food safety, labeling requirements, and workplace standards. Compliance with these regulations is essential for maintaining product quality and consumer trust.

  • FDA regulates food labeling requirements including ingredient declarations and nutritional information
  • USDA oversees food safety standards including inspections and Good Manufacturing Practices
  • OSHA establishes workplace safety regulations for manufacturing facilities
  • Environmental Protection Agency regulations cover air emissions and waste management

Sources

Government, statistical and trade sources used for this Claight analysis.

  • US Census Bureau Annual Survey of Manufactures 2021 ·
  • Bureau of Labor Statistics 2021 ·
  • USDA Economic Research Service 2022 ·
  • Bread Manufacturers Association 2022 ·
  • Food and Drug Administration Regulations

Claight analysis of public industry data.