Market Overview
Air-based military EO/IR systems combine visible-light, thermal and near-infrared sensors with stabilized turrets, processing electronics and datalinks to support reconnaissance, target acquisition, piloting and missile-warning missions on manned and unmanned aircraft. The global market is anchored at an estimated $15.8 billion in 2025, reflecting widespread retrofit of existing platforms as well as fitment to new-build combat, rotorcraft and UAV programs. Growth is in line with a compound annual rate of roughly 6.5%, consistent with rising sensor content per airframe rather than just unit-volume increases in aircraft production.
- •Estimated 2025 market size: ~$15.8 billion.
- •Forecast CAGR through the early 2030s: ~6.5%.
- •Coverage spans fixed-wing, rotorcraft and unmanned airborne platforms.
Growth Drivers
Sustained growth is primarily driven by heightened geopolitical tension and the need for persistent situational awareness, which is pushing air forces and navies to add multi-spectral imaging to existing fleets. The rapid scaling of medium- and high-altitude UAVs is increasing demand for compact, gimbal-mounted EO/IR payloads with long-range detection. At the same time, network-centric warfare concepts are raising requirements for high-definition, low-latency video and metadata feeds that feed targeting and battle-management systems.
- •Modernization of legacy combat and surveillance fleets with new EO/IR suites.
- •Expansion of UAV platforms requiring compact, stabilized sensor payloads.
- •Shift toward multi-spectral, high-definition imaging and AI-assisted target detection.
Segmentation and Regional Analysis
The market can be segmented by platform type (fixed-wing aircraft, helicopters, UAVs), by system type (targeting pods, surveillance and reconnaissance turrets, missile-warning and situational-awareness systems, navigation and enhanced-vision systems) and by spectral band. Geographically, North America leads on the back of large U.S. procurement programs, followed by Europe and the Indo-Pacific, while the Middle East is a fast-growing importer due to regional security demands.
- •By system type: targeting pods, surveillance/reconnaissance turrets, missile-warning and navigation aids.
- •By region: North America leads, followed by Europe and Asia-Pacific, with the Middle East growing rapidly.
- •By platform: manned fixed-wing, rotary-wing and increasingly unmanned aerial systems.
Trends and Outlook
What are the recent trends and outlook?
Over the coming years, the market is expected to tilt further toward small-form-factor, SWaP-optimized sensors that can be carried by Group 1-3 UAVs and attritable platforms. AI-enabled detection, classification and tracking are moving from optional features to baseline requirements, supported by edge-processing hardware. Sovereign industrial policy in Europe, the Indo-Pacific and the Middle East is also encouraging local assembly and integration, which should expand the number of qualified suppliers even as global primes retain the most advanced programs.
- •AI-enabled object detection and edge processing becoming standard in new payloads.
- •Indo-Pacific and Middle East procurement accelerating, with growing local industrial participation.
- •Long-term outlook remains positive, supported by steady ~6.5% annual market growth through the early 2030s.
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Connect to an analyst →Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research and industry data. Historical years before 2025 and all forecast years are Claight estimates at the stated CAGR. Retrieved 2026.