Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting · US · NAICS 11

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting in the US: Market Size, Businesses & Forecast 2026

The Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting industry in the United States encompasses the fundamental extraction and cultivation of natural biological resources for food, fiber, and industrial applications. According to the USDA Economic Research Service, the industry is navigating a persistent economic contraction, with projected net farm income forecast to decline to $153.4 billion in 2026. This downward trend is driven by weakening commodity receipts outside of the beef sector and stubbornly high production expenses, which are estimated to reach $477.7 billion in 2026. Consequently, operators are increasingly reliant on government support structures, with direct federal farm program paym

Market size
USD 514.7 bn (2026)
Claight est. · 2026
USD 514.7 bn
Businesses · 2025
115k
Outlook
Contracting
Competition
High, rising

Industry snapshot

Demand drivers
Global Commodity Prices
Production Input Costs
Federal Subsidy Payments
Weather and Climate Shifts
Relative importance, Claight qualitative assessment.
Market structure
fragmented
moderate
concentrated
Competitive intensity
high, rising
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Key public data points

Net Farm Income (2026)153,400,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026
Total Production Expenses (2026)477,700,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026
Direct Government Farm Payments (2026)44,300,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026
Total Crop Receipts (2026)240,800,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026
Total Animal and Animal Product Receipts (2026)273,900,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026
Farm Sector Assets (2026)4,540,000,000,000 USD
Source: USDA Economic Research Service 2026

Historical & forecast

Base year 2025. Each series is official through its own latest government-data year (shown in the legend on each chart), and years beyond that are Claight estimates. As of July 2026 the current year is still in progress (2026 annual data is not yet published), so the forecast runs to 2030 (market size CAGR 4.1%, indexed to BLS QCEW industry growth).

Market size
Base year 2025
Official data · Public industry statisticsForecast
Claight estimate indexed to BLS QCEW industry payroll.
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: $494.5bn2030 est: $604.0bn
Number of businesses
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 114,6062030 est: 121,329
Employment
Base year 2025
Official data (2016-2025) · BLS QCEWForecast
Forecast
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
2027
2028
2029
2030
2025 base: 1,230,7252030 est: 1,215,029

Key players

Tyson Foods$54.4bn (2025) · ~10.6%
Deere$45.7bn (2025) · ~8.9%
Archer-Daniels-Midland$25bn (2025) · ~4.8%
Corteva$17.4bn (2025) · ~3.4%
Bunge Global$16.9bn (2025) · ~3.3%
Mosaic$12.1bn (2025) · ~2.3%
CF Industries$7.1bn (2025) · ~1.4%
Public companies, revenue from SEC EDGAR 10-K filings. Share is a Claight estimate (company revenue / industry market size).
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Industry Definition and Scope

What does the Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting in the US industry cover?

The sector encompasses establishments primarily engaged in growing crops, raising animals, harvesting timber, and extracting fish or other wildlife from their natural or managed habitats. It distinguishes clearly between direct primary production and specialized agricultural support services provided on a fee basis. The life cycle of the production process typically concludes when the raw agricultural or biological commodity reaches the 'farm gate' for initial market sale.

  • Covers subsectors including Crop Production, Animal Production and Aquaculture, Forestry and Logging, Fishing, Hunting and Trapping, and Support Activities.
  • Excludes downstream commercial activities such as agricultural research, product processing, and the public administration of conservation programs.
  • Applies to diverse operational setups such as commercial farms, ranches, dairies, greenhouses, orchards, and fish hatcheries.

Market Structure and Operators

Who operates in the industry and how is it structured?

The industry's structural layout is highly fragmented, consisting of hundreds of thousands of independent family-owned operations alongside major multinational agribusiness entities. While corporate consolidations have increased the concentration of total land holdings and market revenues, smaller specialized operations remain vital contributors within niche regional supply chains. Financial health varies significantly between crop-centric farms and those focused on animal production.

  • Farm sector equity is forecast by the USDA to increase by $112.1 billion to reach $3.92 trillion in 2026.
  • Total industry asset values are projected to climb to $4.54 trillion in 2026, driven primarily by rising agricultural real estate valuations.
  • Total sector debt is expected to expand by 5.2% to $624.7 billion in 2026, elevating debt-to-asset metrics to approximately 13.75%.
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Demand Drivers

What drives demand in the industry?

Demand for domestic agricultural and biological commodities is structurally shaped by population growth, international trade flows, shifting dietary preferences, and industrial demand for biofuels. Fluctuations in global macroeconomic stability heavily dictate export volumes, while local demand is stabilized by domestic consumption patterns. Crop demand is also influenced by livestock inventory requirements, as feed constitutes a primary input cost for animal producers.

  • Total crop receipts are forecast to rise marginally by 1.2% to $240.8 billion in 2026, supported by higher volumes of corn sales.
  • Animal and animal product receipts are projected to drop by 5.8% to $273.9 billion in 2026, led by declining milk and egg values.
  • Feed expenses across the livestock sector represent a primary domestic demand driver, though spending on feed is forecast to contract by 6.8% to $65.4 billion in 2026.

Competitive Landscape and Notable Public Companies

Who are the notable companies in the industry?

Competition in the upstream production tier is largely based on global commodity pricing, yield optimization, and cost-containment efficiencies. Major commercial entities control the supply chains of foundational inputs, logistics, and processing, directly impacting the operational capabilities of primary producers. Prominent public companies operate heavily across timberlands, agricultural logistics, and scaled corporate farming or harvesting networks.

  • Weyerhaeuser Company operates as an extensive private owner of timberlands, managing millions of acres of structural forest infrastructure.
  • Archer-Daniels-Midland Company influences primary demand via massive procurement networks for oilseeds, grains, and agricultural commodities.
  • Bunge Global SA serves as a core operator in global grain trading, processing oilseeds, and connecting primary farm production to industrial consumers.
  • Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. acts as a highly consolidated public operator directly engaged in primary agricultural production, specializing in shell egg output.

Recent Trends and Outlook

What are the recent trends and outlook?

The sector is currently confronting a challenging multi-year downturn characterized by compressed market margins and volatile commodity pricing. Higher operational overhead, elevated borrowing costs, and dropping commodity values have severely weakened the near-term economic outlook. To stabilize operations, producers are leaning on expanded emergency assistance frameworks and government-backed safety nets.

  • Net farm income for 2026 is forecast to decline by 0.7% nominally to $153.4 billion, sitting roughly 24% below the record highs achieved in 2022.
  • Supplemental and ad hoc disaster assistance payments are projected to reach $23.9 billion in 2026 under federal relief acts.
  • Conservation program outlays managed by the USDA's Farm Service Agency are forecast to rise 4.3% to $5.3 billion in 2026.
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Regulation and Compliance

How is the industry regulated?

Operators are subject to strict oversight from federal and state bodies tasked with monitoring environmental impacts, land conservation, and food safety standards. Compliance mandates dictate resource extraction limits, pesticide usage, labor practices, and animal welfare metrics. Federal legislation also shapes market mechanics through cyclical adjustments to safety nets and subsidy allocations.

  • Operations conform to environmental protections governed by the Clean Water Act and EPA pesticide usage mandates.
  • Financial safety nets are authorized through federal legislative mechanisms including the Commodity Credit Corporation Charter Act.
  • The Endangered Species Act impacts land management, imposing seasonal logging restrictions and wildlife preservation requirements on forestry and hunting tracts.

Sources

Government, statistical and trade sources used for this Claight analysis.

  • USDA Economic Research Service 2026 ·
  • U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis 2025 ·
  • U.S. Census Bureau NAICS 2022

Claight analysis of public industry data.