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Agentic Commerce Market Report: Market Size & Forecast 2026

Agentic commerce refers to AI-driven software agents that autonomously browse, compare, negotiate, and transact on behalf of consumers and businesses across digital commerce channels. The global market reached approximately $5.7 billion in 2025 and is currently estimated at $7.735 billion in 2026, expanding at a compound annual growth rate of about 35.7%, reflecting rapid enterprise adoption of autonomous shopping and payment agents. Acceleration is being driven by advances in large language models, the rollout of agent-friendly payments infrastructure such as payment credentials, agentic wallets, and stablecoin rails, and rising demand for personalized, hands-off shopping experiences. Analysts project that by 2030 agentic commerce could channel over $1.5 trillion in gross merchandise value worldwide, with the market forecast to maintain this growth trajectory through 2031.

Market size · 2026
$7.7 billion
CAGR · 2026–2031
35.7%
Forecast · 2031
$35.6 billion
Basis
Claight Analysis
Market size (USD)
Base year 2026
Official data · Claight AnalysisForecast
Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research.
Forecast
2021
2022
2023
2024
2025
2026
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2028
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2030
2031
2026 base: $7.7bn2031 est: $35.6bn
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Market Overview

Agentic commerce sits at the intersection of generative AI, autonomous software agents, and digital payments, enabling AI systems to complete purchases with limited human supervision. The market reached approximately $5.7 billion in 2025 and is currently estimated at around $7.735 billion in 2026, forecast to grow at roughly 35.7% per year through 2031, placing it among the fastest-growing segments of the broader fintech and e-commerce landscape. Underpinning this growth is a parallel explosion in transaction volume, with autonomous agents projected to handle more than $1.5 trillion in global gross merchandise value by 2030.

Growth Drivers

Advances in large language models and tool-using agent frameworks have made it commercially viable for AI to handle multi-step shopping tasks end-to-end. At the same time, major card networks, wallet providers, and fintechs are rolling out purpose-built agentic payment rails, including delegated payment credentials, AI-checkout APIs, and stablecoin-based settlement, which remove long-standing technical blockers. Heightened consumer appetite for personalized, time-saving experiences and enterprise pressure to reduce customer acquisition costs are also pushing retailers, marketplaces, and travel platforms to deploy agentic interfaces at scale.

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Segmentation and Regional Analysis

The market segments by agent type into AI shopping assistants, chatbot platforms, autonomous checkout agents, and AI-driven negotiation or pricing tools, with applications spanning retail, travel, financial services, and digital subscriptions. By deployment, solutions split between consumer-facing personal shopping agents and enterprise-facing commerce automation for merchants and marketplaces. Geographically, North America leads early adoption due to its concentration of AI labs, card networks, and large e-commerce platforms, while Asia-Pacific is expected to register the fastest growth as super-app ecosystems and digital payments maturity accelerate agent deployment across China, India, Japan, and Southeast Asia.

Trends and Outlook

What are the recent trends and outlook?

Through 2030, agentic commerce is expected to move from experimental pilots to a default checkout pathway inside major e-commerce and travel platforms, with standards bodies and card networks formalizing protocols for agent identity, delegated consent, and transaction liability. Stablecoins and tokenized settlement are emerging as a parallel trend, enabling cross-border agentic transactions with lower friction and near-instant settlement. Looking further out, the category is likely to converge with broader agentic AI in retail, embedding autonomous agents across merchandising, customer service, and supply-chain functions rather than remaining a stand-alone checkout

Key Companies and Developments

Named companies and quantified developments shaping the Agentic Commerce market.

  • MIT Sloan Management Review - A spring 2025 survey conducted by MIT Sloan Management Review and Boston Consulting Group found that 35% of respondents had adopted AI agents by 2023, with another 44% expressing plans to deploy the technology in short order.
  • Boston Consulting Group - A spring 2025 survey conducted by MIT Sloan Management Review and Boston Consulting Group found that 35% of respondents had adopted AI agents by 2023, with another 44% expressing plans to deploy the technology in short order.
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Market size and forecast are Claight Analysis, informed by public research and industry data. Historical years before 2026 and all forecast years are Claight estimates at the stated CAGR. Retrieved 2026.